Aryna Sabalenka and Naomi Osaka will face each other for the fourth time on July 9, 2026, at Wimbledon. Both players have made significant contributions to tennis, each securing four Grand Slam titles and achieving the top world ranking. Their first meeting in 2018 was pivotal for both careers, with Osaka winning that match and subsequently claiming her first major title.
History of the Sabalenka-Osaka Rivalry
The rivalry between Sabalenka and Osaka began at the 2018 US Open, where Osaka won 6-3, 2-6, 6-4. Both players were 20 years old and on the rise in the WTA rankings. Sabalenka reflected, "When she won that match, I had a feeling she is going to win a Slam." Just days later, Osaka made history by defeating Serena Williams to become the first Japanese player to win a Grand Slam.
In the following years, their paths diverged. Osaka won three more Grand Slam titles by 2020, while Sabalenka struggled to secure her first major until her victory at the 2023 Australian Open. Sabalenka acknowledged their distinct journeys, stating, "I feel like we both were completely different players and people."
Recent Encounters and Performance Trends
This year, Sabalenka has outperformed Osaka in their encounters, winning all three matches. Notably, she won at Indian Wells in March with a score of 6-2, 6-4, showcasing her strong serving with eight aces. Their next match in Madrid saw Sabalenka recover from a break down to secure the victory.
- March 2026: Sabalenka defeated Osaka 6-2, 6-4 at Indian Wells.
- May 2026: Sabalenka won in Madrid after overcoming a first-set tie-break.
- June 2026: Sabalenka triumphed again at the French Open, dominating on serve.
As they prepare for Wimbledon, both players have improved their grass-court games. Osaka reached the fourth round at Wimbledon for the first time, and her average first-serve speed has increased from 105 mph last year to 109 mph this year. She expressed confidence, saying, "My confidence is pretty high. I don’t fear it too much anymore." Meanwhile, Sabalenka, who has had success at Wimbledon but is yet to reach the final, is aiming to improve with each match, stating, "The plan is to get better every day on this beautiful grass."
What to Expect in the Wimbledon Matchup
As the fourth round approaches, both players are in peak form, making the upcoming match highly anticipated. Their contrasting styles and histories add intrigue to their rivalry. Sabalenka's powerful serve and Osaka's precise groundstrokes will be key in determining the outcome.
With a combined total of 31 WTA Tour titles, neither has yet claimed a title on grass, making this match especially crucial for both players. Fans will be eager to see who will advance further in the tournament.
🤖 This article was rewritten by Feed and Figures' editorial AI from a report originally published by BBC Sport. Facts and quotes are preserved from the original; the rewrite focuses on clarity and structure. For the unedited original, see the source link below.